With the 2019 NFL season upon us, we can not forget about the the major talent funnel that we all love, College Football.
This is where the stars of tomorrow are born. After three years of college experience, players may leave behind their college tenure to pursue what they hope to be greener pastures at the NFL level and cash-in on their other-worldly talent.
PointsBet has already released 2020 NFL Draft odds for a handful of No. 1 hopefuls come late April in 2020. Expect more NJ online sportsbooks like DraftKings or William Hill to quickly follow.
Draft Odds Favor QB’s At #1
Before we look at the odds, let’s look at the past 10 years of NFL drafts.
Why? Because the position that is most prominent is quarterback. QB’s have been the No. 1 overall pick in seven of the last 10 drafts.
Bottom line: Quarterbacks are the way to go unless the quarterback class is seriously putrid or the No. 1 overall team ran into a spot where they have an injured star quarterback and have larger need for their roster.
Teams that have a realistic chance of having the top 2020 overall pick are the Miami Dolphins, Cincinnati Bengals, Arizona Cardinals and perhaps even the New York Giants.
Looking at those teams, the Dolphins could look beyond Josh Rosen even though he is still young. The Bengals and new head coach Zak Taylor could look for their ideal fit for a future QB. Lastly, the Cardinals and Giants are said to have their quarterback of the future from the 2019 NFL Draft.
Right now, it’s safe to say the Dolphins are probably the most likely to have the No. 1 pick. Rosen, though still young, did not show a lot of promise in his rookie season, albeit on a horrendous Cardinals team.
2020 NFL Draft Odds #1 Pick
Now that we’ve established what position will be the No. 1 overall pick, let’s look at the odds, courtesy of PointsBet.
Players | 2020 NFL #1 Overall Pick Odds via PointsBet |
Tua Tagovailoa | -200 |
Justin Herbert | 400 |
Jake Fromm | 700 |
Chase Young | 1000 |
Andrew Thomas | 2000 |
Jerry Jeudy | 3000 |
Derrick Brown | 4000 |
Raekwon Davis | 4000 |
Walker Little | 5000 |
AJ Epenesa | 5000 |
[wpsm_comparison_table id=”10″ class=””]
OK, so from this list of players, we have three quarterbacks on the list: Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert and Jake Fromm. Barring any major injury or an incredible decline in play, Tagovailoa is on a level of his own.
Justin Herbert could have been the No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 NFL draft, but his play decreased rapidly late in 2019. At that point, he wouldn’t have gone before Murray, but perhaps a top-10 pick. Herbert would need a miracle to supplant Tagovailoa as the 2020 #1 pick favorite.
Jake Fromm, though talented, is more of a later first-round pick for a team looking for their guy of the future. Teams like the New Orleans Saints could look to develop him. He’s not equipped with a rocket arm and cannot run well, but he has that word “intangibles” written all over him.
Go With The Favorite
At -200, Tagovailoa is the only choice. The guy can do it all. He has great measurements, and he can make the NFL-type throws.
Tagovailoa will end up as the quarterback for the Dolphins or Bengals heading into the 2020-2021 NFL season as the No. 1 overall pick. Can he turn them into Super Bowl contenders, well that may be bit too to ask.
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