Our NFL Upset Picks are locked and loaded for NFL Week 12 betting at NJ Sportsbooks. With 3 Thanksgiving Day games on the schedule, we included our upset call for the Redskins vs. Dallas.

THANKSGIVING: Washington Redskins +7, +263 @ Dallas Cowboys

These NFC East rivals matched up back in Week 7 when the Redskins scored the 20-17 win as 1 point home dogs. Alex Smith was a non-factor in the contest throwing for 178 yards and a touchdown on 25 attempts; he completed 14 of them. You can line any stiff QB under center and get production like that. Washington looked to the ground where Adrian Peterson flourished in rushing for 99 scoreless yards and better than 4.1 yards per carry against a stout Dallas D that will once again be without the services of MLB Sean Lee.

Washington held Ezekiel Elliott in check limiting him to just 33 yards on 15 carries in the first go round. The Cowboys ability to cover a number like this solely falls upon the shoulders of Dak Prescott. If he can do it, so be it. I’ll still be betting against the home team covering what I perceive to be an overinflated number in this pivotal division clash.

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San Francisco 49ers +3, +164 @ Tampa Bay Bucs

The Bucs have lost four straight games and managed one luck box cover at Cincinnati
during that stretch after Fitzmagic came on in relief to lead a furious comeback. Guess what, he’s been benched and the other turnover machine – Jameis Winston – will lead Tampa Bay into battle on Sunday. This matchup pits the two worst teams in the league up against one another in terms of holding onto possession of the pigskin.

With that, I’m going with the lesser of the two evils. Kyle Shanahan matching wits with the lame duck Dirk Koetter is a solid advantage to exploit; especially with the 49ers coming in off a bye. The Niners have been installed road dogs twice since Jimmy G succumbed to a season ending injury. Though they failed to win either game, they did cover both numbers at the Chargers and Packers. Ultimately, I’m expecting San Fran’s potent ground attack and the Bucs proclivity to give away the pigskin to lead to the 49ers first road triumph.

New York Giants +6, +221 @ Philadelphia Eagles

Even at 3-7 with only six games remaining on the regular season docket, the Giants have just as good a shot as anyone to ultimately win the NFC East. I guess you can say the same for the Eagles, but the defending champs have been nothing short of chumps and I’m taking last week’s thumping at the hands of the Saints as the straw that broke the camel’s back. Seriously, how do you manage a single touchdown in what was expected to be a bayou

Though they didn’t look great in either game, New York has looked like a different team since coming off its bye. Eli Manning’s been in solid form. OBJ has taken his game to another level, and Saquon Barkley continues to mystify. If the offense is able to build upon its excelled level of play, it’s going to be in this one all the way through against a Philly team whose psyche is at a season low. Each of the last two skirmishes between these rivals on this field has been decided by an average of just 4.0 PPG. After getting dominated at home in the first round, I fully expect the G-Men to come out swinging in round two!

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