Day by day, things in the National Football League can change at the drop of a hat.
For instance, the Cincinnati Bengals recently lost wide receiver A.J. Green for at least the first game of the season after tearing a ligament in his ankle.
Now, for the purpose of this and discussing Super Bowl odds at NJ Sportsbooks, the Bengals won’t play a role, but it’s an example of how events can drastically shift the odds NJ online sportsbooks.
Courtesy of William Hill NJ, they have put out information in regards to their opening Super Bowl odds from January 2019 (well before the NFL Draft and free agency) to now, July-August 2019.
2020 Super Bowl Odds Movement
Let’s look at three of the more interesting changes in 2020 Super Bowl odds at William Hill.
Indianapolis Colts
January 2019: +2500
July 2019: +1400
Starting in January, the Colts were in the middle of the pact in terms of Super Bowl odds. With quarterback Andrew Luck in the fold, the Colts will always be a playoff contender and a chance to go a bit deeper into the postseason.
However, since January the Colts have brought in Devin Funchess, Justin Houston and Spencer Ware, as well as draft picks Rock Ya-Sin, Ben Banogu and another weapon for Luck in Parris Campbell.
The biggest issue for the Colts is that they are in the AFC alongside the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs. Both of those teams are the absolute elite in all of the NFL, so getting past them will be difficult in the AFC playoffs.
However, with an improved group of weapons and a sack machine in Houston, the Colts are definitely in a better spot and deserve their increase in odds.
[wpsm_comparison_table id=”12″ class=””]Cleveland Browns
January 2019: +5000
July 2019: +1500
The Browns have seen a dramatic shift on their squad since January. Just look at these additions: Odell Beckham Jr., Olivier Vernon, Sheldon Richardson and Kareem Hunt. Add top draft choice Greedy Williams and the Browns have a top-tier roster.
At +1500 the Browns are not in the “top favorites” category, but they have an incredible roster from top to bottom. However, like the Colts, they also have to deal with the Patriots and Chiefs.
While the Browns may have the roster, they do lack the experience. While it may be cliche, those are things that could become an issue. Against the Patriots, can Freddie Kitchens get the best of Bill Belichick? The Browns have the pass rush and defense to rattle Tom Brady.
Against the Chiefs, this will be a shootout. Can Baker Mayfield outshine Patrick Mahomes? That could be another tough task, but could be doable.
However, the Browns should have better odds than the Colts. The Colts are still a solid team, but the Browns do have the edge here.
Oakland Raiders
January 2019: +15000
July 2019: +40000
Even with their additions of Antonio Brown, Trent Brown, Tyrell Williams, Lamarus Joyner, Nevin Lawson and Vontaze Burfict, the Raiders are still a ways away from winning the Super Bowl, according to these odds.
The Raiders still have issues on the offensive line, the defense is still lackluster and quarterback Derek Carr needs to prove the world wrong after his less than stellar 2018 campaign. Also, we have to mention Jon Gruden. Has he lost touch with the modern NFL player?
The Raiders could win a handful of games, their NFL over-under wins total is set at 6 wins. Oakland needs a breakout season from Carr to be a playoff contender again, especially in a division with the Los Angeles Chargers and KC Chiefs.
However, it’s notable that they went from one of the worst teams in the league to, albeit, still fairly low in the pecking order, but perhaps a top-20 team.
Who Deserves Your Super Bowl Pick?
Out of the 3 teams we focused on above, your betting investment ROI should focus on the Browns. The revamped Browns roster and offense could potentially win a shootout with the Chiefs in the postseason. Their talent could also overwhelm a mid-40’s Tom Brady. Get ready for a new generation of Cleveland Browns football that will be a top contender for years to come in the NFL.
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